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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">observer</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Обозреватель-Observer</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Обозреватель–Observer</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2074-2975</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Институт стран СНГ</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.48137/2074-2975_2022_9-10_5</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">observer-220</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Политология</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Political sciences</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Силовой путь объединения Тайваня с материковым Китаем: В контексте новой геополитической ситуации</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Analysis of Taiwan’s military unification with mainland China: The context of the new geopolitical situation</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кулешова</surname><given-names>Н. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kuleshova</surname><given-names>N. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>КУЛЕШОВА Наталья Сергеевна – профессор кафедры политологии Востока</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>KULESHOVA Natalia S. – Doctor of Philosophy, Associate Professor of the Department of Political Science of the East of the Institute of Asia and Africa</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kuleshova-nataly@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Чжан</surname><given-names>Ч.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Chzhan</surname><given-names>C.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>ЧЖАН Чэньи – аспирант кафедры политологии Востока</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>CHZHAN Chen’i – Graduate student of Department of Political Science of the East of the Institute of Asia and Africa</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">353899135@qq.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ИСАА МГУ им. М. В. Ломоносова</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Moscow State University Lomonosov</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>05</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>9-10</issue><fpage>5</fpage><lpage>28</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Кулешова Н.С., Чжан Ч., 2024</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кулешова Н.С., Чжан Ч.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kuleshova N.S., Chzhan C.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.observer-journal.ru/jour/article/view/220">https://www.observer-journal.ru/jour/article/view/220</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье рассматривается современное состояние тайваньского вопроса в контексте «единого Китая». Уникальное значение Тайваня для Китая обеспечивает его приоритетность в стратегии КНР. Позиция США и других влиятельных игроков региона по Тайваню воздействует на решение вопроса, формируя худший сценарий, т. е. возможность военного конфликта.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article examines the current state of the Taiwan issue in the context of “one China”. Taiwan’s unique importance to China ensures its priority in China’s strategy. The position of the U.S. and other influential players in the region on Taiwan influences the resolution of the issue, forming the worst-case scenario, i.e., the possibility of military conflict.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>международное право</kwd><kwd>«принцип одного Китая»</kwd><kwd>национальная самоидентификация</kwd><kwd>Россия</kwd><kwd>санкции</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>international law</kwd><kwd>the “one China principle”</kwd><kwd>national identity</kwd><kwd>Russia</kwd><kwd>sanctions</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Батюк В. И. Индо-Тихоокеанская стратегия США и Евразия // Актуальные проблемы Европы. 2021. № 1. С. 135–153.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Batyuk V. I. Indo-Tihookeanskaya strategiya SSHA i Evraziya // Aktual’nye problemy Evropy. 2021. № 1. 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